Crosstab model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.5% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will end up with 41.5%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to win 42.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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