Crosstab model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.5% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will end up with 41.5%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to win 42.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.