Results of a new poll administered by Remington Research (R) were released. The poll asked interviewees from Ohio for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where the Democrats and the GOP have often achieved similar levels of voter support. Hence, the election outcome in that state is viewed as critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Remington Research (R) poll results
Of those who responded, 42.0% said that they are going to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 46.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from October 20 to October 22 among 1971 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's error margin of +/-2.2 percentage points, the difference between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be treated with caution, since they can include substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 47.7% for Clinton and 52.3% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 49.2% of the two-party vote in Ohio. That is, the PollyVote is 3.1 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.