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Crosstab model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 57.4% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will win 42.6%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 55.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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