Crosstab model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 38.6% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will end up with 61.4%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to gain 39.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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