Crosstab model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 38.6% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, while Trump will end up with 61.4%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to gain 39.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.