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Crosstab model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.0% for Clinton, and 49.0% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to obtain 49.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 50.6% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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