Crosstab model in New York: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 63.9% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will win 36.1%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to gain only 62.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 63.4% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.