Crosstab model in New York: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 63.9% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will win 36.1%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to gain only 62.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 63.4% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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