The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 54.1% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, while Trump will win 45.9%.
In New Hampshire, the election outcome is often decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.