The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 51.8% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will end up with 48.2%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to garner 47.9% of the vote.
Nevada is traditionally a purple state, where Republicans and Democrats have historically won similar levels of voter support. This is the reason why the election outcome here is viewed as critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.