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Nevada: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 52.1% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will end up with 47.9%.

In Nevada, the popular vote is usually close. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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