The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 52.1% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will end up with 47.9%.
In Nevada, the popular vote is usually close. This is the reason why the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.