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Crosstab model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 44.5% for Clinton, and 55.5% for Trump in Missouri. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to win 54.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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