The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will win 45.6%. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to win 46.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.