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Minnesota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will win 45.6%. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to win 46.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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