Michigan: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 54.1% for Clinton, and 45.9% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to gain 45.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.