Michigan: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 54.1% for Clinton, and 45.9% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to gain 45.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Michigan.