Maine: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 56.2% for Clinton, and 43.8% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 54.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.