Louisiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 41.2% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, while Trump will win 58.8%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to gain 58.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they often contain substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.