Results of a new poll administered by PPP (D) were circulated. The poll asked respondents from West Virginia for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
According to the results, 30.0% of participants plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% intend to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1 among 1201 likely voters. The error margin is +/-2.8 percentage points. This means that the poll results for the Democratic and the Republican candidate differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, Polly's forecast is 3.2 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error reveals that this difference is significant.