Hit enter after type your search item

Latest Emerson poll in Vermont: Trump trails by a whopping margin

/
/
/
5 Views

Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Vermont were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Emerson poll results
47

Clinton

26

Trump

Of those who responded, 47.0% said that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% declared that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5, among a random sample of 600 likely voters. Given the poll's error margin of +/-3.9 percentage points, the spread in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual poll. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 64.4% for Clinton and 35.6% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.6% of the two-party vote in Vermont. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 3.2 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar