Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Vermont were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Emerson poll results
Of those who responded, 47.0% said that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% declared that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5, among a random sample of 600 likely voters. Given the poll's error margin of +/-3.9 percentage points, the spread in voter support is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual poll. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 64.4% for Clinton and 35.6% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.6% of the two-party vote in Vermont. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 3.2 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this difference is negligible.