Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.