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Crosstab model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 42.2% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 57.8%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to achieve 57.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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