Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 86.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will end up with 13.4%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 89.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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