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Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead


The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will end up with 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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