The Issues and Leaders model is included in the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.5% for Clinton, and 48.5% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models should be interpreted with caution, as they often contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. This value is 1.6 percentage points higher than corresponding numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Issues and Leaders model.