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Issues and Leaders model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Issues and Leaders model is included in the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.5% for Clinton, and 48.5% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be interpreted with caution, as they often contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other index models

Clinton currently runs at 53.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. This value is 1.6 percentage points higher than corresponding numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Issues and Leaders model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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