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Crosstab model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 44.5% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, while Trump will end up with 55.5%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to gain 55.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Indiana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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