The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 59.9% for Clinton, and 40.1% for Trump in Illinois. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to garner 40.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.