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Crosstab model in Illinois: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 59.9% for Clinton, and 40.1% for Trump in Illinois. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to garner 40.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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