The Holbrook & DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 46.8%. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was predicted to collect 46.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 50.5%. This value is 2.7 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Holbrook & DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote. The results of the Holbrook & DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.