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Hawaii: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 68.3% for Clinton, and 31.7% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 69.9% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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