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Crosstab model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 51.0% of the two-party vote share in Florida, while Trump will win 49.0%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to achieve 51.1% of the vote.

Historically, Florida has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions in this state are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Florida. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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