DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 67.6% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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