The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 42.7% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will end up with 57.4%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.