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DeSart & Holbrook model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 39.7% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, while Trump will end up with 60.3%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to win 60.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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