The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 60.6% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will win 39.4%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to garner 39.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 60.4% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.