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Crosstab model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.9% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 66.1%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to achieve 35.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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