The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 92.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will end up with 7.6%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to end up with 93.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 89.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..