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Crosstab model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 92.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will end up with 7.6%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to end up with 93.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 89.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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