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Tennessee: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 41.5% for Clinton, and 58.5% for Trump in Tennessee. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to collect only 40.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Tennessee.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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