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Crosstab model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 55.5% for Clinton, and 44.5% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to achieve 55.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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