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Crosstab model in Montana: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 40.6% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will end up with 59.5%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to garner 57.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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