Crosstab model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 45.6% for Clinton, and 54.4% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to collect 52.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.