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Minnesota: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will end up with 44.9%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 54.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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