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Crosstab model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 68.3% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, whereas Trump will end up with 31.7%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to collect 68.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.3% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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