Kentucky: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 34.6% for Clinton, and 65.4% for Trump in Kentucky. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to gain only 34.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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