The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.9% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will end up with 47.1%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to obtain 47.2% of the vote.
In Colorado, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.