Colorado: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.9% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will end up with 47.1%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to obtain 47.2% of the vote.

In Colorado, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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