The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 57.7% for Clinton, and 42.3% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to win 42.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.