Arkansas: Trump holds overwhelming advantage in new Talk Business/Hendrix College poll

Talk Business/Hendrix College published the results of a new poll on October 26. In this poll, respondents from Arkansas were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Of those who responded, 34.0% said that they are going to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 0.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted . A total of 0 respondents responded.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 38.2% for Clinton and 61.8% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of Arkansas polls, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 64.6%. This value is 2.8 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Talk Business/Hendrix College poll.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. That is, Polly's prediction is 4.6 points below his polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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