Arkansas: Trump holds overwhelming advantage in new Talk Business/Hendrix College poll
Talk Business/Hendrix College published the results of a new poll on October 26. In this poll, respondents from Arkansas were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Talk Business/Hendrix College poll results
Of those who responded, 34.0% said that they are going to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 0.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted . A total of 0 respondents responded.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 38.2% for Clinton and 61.8% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
If we look at an average of Arkansas polls, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 64.6%. This value is 2.8 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Talk Business/Hendrix College poll.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. That is, Polly's prediction is 4.6 points below his polling numbers.