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Alabama: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 39.5% for Clinton, and 60.5% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to collect 60.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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