Crosstab model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.9% for Clinton, and 60.1% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was predicted to win 59.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.