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Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 74.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 69.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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