West Virginia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 36.5% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 63.5%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.