West Virginia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 36.5% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 63.5%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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