The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 59.1% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will win 41.0%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to collect 59.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington.