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Crosstab model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 59.1% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will win 41.0%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to collect 59.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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