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Crosstab model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 70.9% for Clinton, and 29.1% for Trump in Vermont.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.6% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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