Vermont: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 69.7% for Clinton, and 30.3% for Trump in Vermont.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 2.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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