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Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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